U.S. President Donald Trump will not win the Nobel Peace Prize this year, experts quoted by outlets say, noting that the president is currently waging war against Iran. The reasoning is tied to the Nobel Committee’s usual criteria and the political context surrounding Trump’s actions.

At the same time, commentators say Trump’s influence could extend to who is ultimately selected. Reuters and other reports point to how last year’s Nobel Peace Prize was widely seen as unusual for its timing and political backdrop, with continued attention on Trump’s attempts to shape the outcome. One outlet also says the committee is likely to consider the resilience of potential laureates to withstand public and political pressure connected to Trump.

Overall, the coverage agrees that Trump is unlikely to be the laureate, while differing slightly in emphasis: some focus on his active conflict posture, while others highlight the possibility that his pressure could affect the committee’s selection process.