Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has directed a small team at Meta to develop a prediction market smartphone app modeled on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, according to multiple reports citing the New York Times. The app is described as internally known as “Arena.” Sources say Arena would work like prediction markets, offering users a way to make wagers on outcomes, but it initially would not allow users to wager real money. Instead, it would likely use a points-based system similar to video game mechanics. While the reporting emphasizes that real-money betting is not part of the initial design, some sources note that Meta has not ruled out the possibility of adding real-money betting later.

The reports also describe Arena as an independent app rather than a feature built into Meta’s existing social media products such as Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, or Messenger, though Meta’s social platforms could potentially direct users to the new app to drive adoption. Meta has not publicly commented on the effort. Overall, the effort is characterized as experimental and may not necessarily lead to a release.