Sweden’s centre-left opposition holds a slim lead after a parliamentary election, creating uncertainty over who can form the next government. Reports based on exit polls and early results say Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson’s bloc is ahead, while the governing centre-right coalition, led by outgoing Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, is close behind.

Multiple outlets describe the race as highly competitive, with far-right Sweden Democrats’ vote share slipping compared with earlier expectations. France 24 and Bloomberg frame the election as a test of whether the far-right can enter government, while others note the far-right’s influence is still a central factor in coalition talks. The precise outcome remains unclear because not all votes are counted immediately, including early and overseas ballots.

As most sources agree, negotiators are likely to face lengthy coalition negotiations given the narrow margin in parliament. Some outlets add that the result could lead to a review of Sweden’s hardening migration policies if the centre-left takes power, and that the final picture may take days to resolve before government formation can begin.