South African exporters in the Western Cape warn that a planned exit from AGOA could damage the province’s economy and jobs, arguing that losing the US trade preference would reduce exports and affect employment. IOL reports estimates that the end of AGOA could put R12.98bn in provincial GDP and 47,381 jobs at risk, after it says exports to the US have already fallen by 41% year on year.
Other coverage broadens the focus beyond direct export firms. TechCabal says AGOA-related fallout could extend to startups that have limited direct exposure to the programme, reflecting how trade changes can affect wider business ecosystems. A second IOL report adds a different angle, citing an economist’s view that while AGOA removal may not strongly hit overall exports or growth, the wider impacts—such as investor confidence and trade relations—could be more consequential.