Vice President Sara Duterte’s lead over Leni Robredo in a hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup is narrowing, according to the latest OCTA Research survey results. Outlets report that the gap has shrunk to seven percentage points, described as the smallest difference recorded in OCTA’s polling so far.
The survey framing is consistent across reports: it presents adult Filipinos’ preferences if elections were held in May 2028. Duterte is reported at 40% support, while Robredo is at 33%, with 26% selecting neither candidate, being undecided, or not knowing whom to support, and 1% refusing to answer.
Across the coverage, the main variation is emphasis—some headlines focus on the “gap narrowing,” while others foreground that Duterte’s lead is shrinking to seven points—while still relying on the same OCTA poll figures and hypothetical matchup context.
