A think tank says China’s ability to carry out military strikes against Australia is expected to expand over the coming decade. The Lowy Institute assessment indicates that while longer-term capabilities may grow markedly, the most immediate and likely threats are not necessarily conventional attack options.
Across the reports, the near-term risk is described as cyberattacks and actions designed to disrupt communications infrastructure. In particular, the analysis highlights potential interference with undersea communications cables, which are important for data and connectivity between Australia and other countries. The coverage also frames these threats as part of broader security concerns, linking military planning with non-traditional activities that can affect national and regional operations.
The reports present the view as an outlook from the Lowy Institute rather than an announcement of specific imminent operations. Overall, they converge on the same central point: China’s capabilities relevant to striking Australia are projected to grow, while cyber and undersea communications disruption are identified as the most immediate hazards.
