The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) warns that El Niño is likely to affect weather patterns that underpin India’s monsoon, increasing risks to agriculture-dependent livelihoods and food security. The FAO says the El Niño phenomenon can alter rainfall timing and intensity, which can in turn reduce crop yields or raise production uncertainty for key staples.
Both outlets report that the potential impact is not limited to one crop. FAO specifically highlights rice and maize as sectors vulnerable to monsoon-related changes. The risk is described as particularly significant for regions already facing stress, where households rely heavily on farming and are more exposed to shocks in harvests and food prices.
While the reporting focuses on the expected risks rather than specific forecast figures, it emphasizes the broader agricultural consequences of El Niño-linked monsoon variability. The FAO framing also links climate-driven weather swings to wider impacts on food availability and local stability, especially in areas already in crisis.
