Two arXiv studies analyzing gravitational-wave catalog GWTC-5.0 report population differences in binary black hole mergers across black-hole mass and spin. One paper examines the effective spin parameter, χ_eff, as a function of primary mass using hierarchical Bayesian mixture modeling. It finds strong statistical evidence for a transition at a primary mass scale of about 15.2^{+4.3}_{-3.6} solar masses, with the χ_eff distribution changing character across that scale. Below the transition, χ_eff is relatively narrow and peaks at a small positive value (with significant support for negative χ_eff as well). Above the transition, the χ_eff distribution is broader and shifts toward values consistent with χ_eff ≈ 0, with roughly similar support for positive and negative χ_eff. The authors argue this low-mass population concentrated near ~10 solar masses is likely associated with a different formation channel, and they consider scenarios involving field massive stellar multiples, including dynamical evolution of hierarchical triples or isolated binary evolution with very large natal kicks, while standard fallback-kick models struggle to reproduce negative χ_eff support.
A second GWTC-5.0 population-properties paper uses 267 mergers to infer merger rates and mass-spectrum features, including evidence for rapidly spinning black holes (χ ~ 0.7) consistent with hierarchical mergers at primary masses ~10–20 solar masses and above ~45 solar masses. It also finds an asymmetric χ_eff distribution about zero, implying at least a minority fraction of mergers with some preference for spin-orbit alignment.