HMRC figures cited by multiple outlets project that, in 2026–27, there will be 10,200,000 people aged 65 and over who are expected to pay income tax. The estimate reflects the number of older people forecast to fall within the income tax system in that tax year. While the reporting focuses on the scale of the projected cohort, the underlying figure comes from HMRC’s published data for income tax paying individuals rather than a separate survey or model described by the articles. The sources present the same headline statistic and do not provide additional breakdowns in the supplied text, such as regional distribution, income bands, or changes compared with earlier years. Overall, the reporting indicates that HMRC expects the number of income tax payers in the 65-plus age group to reach a little over 10 million by 2026–27, based on its income tax forecasts and administrative statistics.