Multiple reports cite the India Meteorological Department (IMD) warning that El Niño conditions could significantly affect India’s southwest monsoon performance this year. IMD assessments indicate that the season’s southwest monsoon rainfall is already running at about 90% of the Long Period Average (LPA). The reports link the potential shortfall to El Niño, a climate pattern in the Pacific Ocean that can alter global weather and influence monsoon variability.
While the sources focus on the risk of below-normal rainfall, they also present the current benchmark for the season: the 90% figure relative to LPA. This comparison is used by IMD as a standard measure to gauge whether monsoon rainfall will be considered normal, deficient, or otherwise. The coverage does not provide a definitive final outcome, but it underscores that El Niño may intensify uncertainty around rainfall totals and timing during the monsoon period. Overall, the reports emphasize the need to monitor ongoing IMD updates as conditions evolve.
