Philippine authorities, through the state weather bureau PAGASA, are monitoring a low pressure area (LPA) located east of Southeastern Mindanao but outside the country’s area of responsibility. In separate advisories, PAGASA says the LPA is not expected to directly affect the Philippines in the next two to three days. In the meantime, it has the potential to develop further: PAGASA officials describe a high likelihood that it could intensify into a tropical depression within about 24 hours, while other reporting characterizes the odds as medium. Separate guidance also indicates the system may later enter the Philippine area of responsibility on Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday morning. Once it enters and gradually approaches, PAGASA expects it to bring rainfall over parts of the country. One report also notes the LPA has a moderate chance of developing into a typhoon. Reported location estimates place the LPA roughly between 2,905 and 2,915 kilometers east of Southeastern Mindanao in the hours covered by the advisories, based on PAGASA’s afternoon and evening bulletins.