A Survation poll of Westminster voting intention puts Labour and Reform UK on 24% each, with Labour drawing level with Reform for the first time in more than a year. Multiple reports say Reform’s previous consistent lead disappears in the latest figures and that Reform drops by three points. The poll also shows a rise for Labour, which gains five points over the previous period cited by the pollsters, taking Labour to its highest level in the Survation series since late November 2025.

The same polling reporting indicates the Conservatives rise slightly to 21% (+1), while the Liberal Democrats and Greens are lower or unchanged at 11% (Lab also rising; LD down one point in the detailed figures) and 11% (Green steady) respectively. Other parties are shown with smaller shares.

Reports link the movement to recent leadership changes within Labour: Keir Starmer is reported to have stepped down as leader and prime minister, and Andy Burnham is confirmed as Labour leader and expected to take up the No. 10 role following the leadership transition. The coverage also notes that Starmer leaves office with negative ratings in the poll, described as the worst approval ratings among leaders tested by the pollster.