Multiple outlets report on a new assessment from the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting continued oil-market tightness linked to the Iran war. The coverage says the IEA expects supply shortfalls to persist and that prices are likely to remain higher even under a best-case scenario in which the war ends next month. The articles describe the situation as a “supply shock,” implying disruptions to production, exports, or logistics that do not immediately unwind when geopolitical tensions ease. While the outlets frame the risk as lasting, they attribute it to the continuing imbalance between available supply and demand, rather than offering a specific forecast for any single date. Across the reports, the central message is that the market’s supply-demand gap and upward price pressure are expected to continue in the near term, reflecting delays or reductions in supply responses and the time required for affected supply chains and flows to normalize. The accounts converge on the IEA’s assessment rather than presenting conflicting figures or alternative interpretations.