The African Democratic Congress (ADC) dismisses statements by former Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Babachir Lawal, predicting that the party’s presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar, will lose the 2027 election. ADC officials say Lawal’s forecast is not evidence-based and amounts to a personal prayer rather than an analytical projection. Speaking on ARISE NEWS, Chille Igbawua, the ADC special adviser on research, policy and strategy, responds to Lawal’s comments on Symfoni TV, where Lawal reportedly put electoral chances at around 70% for a joint ticket of Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso, around 50% for President Bola Tinubu, and “zero” for Atiku.
Igbawua argues that such assertions lack scientific or factual foundation, making them difficult to challenge. The ADC says it is prioritising election preparation based on its manifesto and internal analysis, rather than speculative comparisons between possible candidates. He also disputes the framing that an Obi-Kwankwaso ticket would be stronger than an Atiku-Rotimi Amaechi ticket. The ADC notes that Obi was not part of the initial opposition coalition when the ADC became the platform, saying Obi joined later. The dispute follows earlier tensions, including Babachir Lawal’s resignation from the ADC and criticism of the party’s primaries.