ICRA Ratings projects India’s overall gold loan portfolio to rise to ₹30 lakh crore by March 2028, up from about ₹18 lakh crore in March 2026. The outlook is supported by strong demand for retail gold loans and increased expansion plans by lenders. Icra says the segment has recorded annual growth of around 38% over the last two financial years ending March 2026, with banks growing their gold loan books by 35% and NBFCs by 54%. Looking ahead, NBFCs are expected to expand faster than banks. Icra forecasts NBFCs’ assets under management to grow at roughly 35% annually over 2026-27 and 2027-28, with their share in the overall gold loan portfolio edging up to about 23% by FY28 from 22% in FY26. Banks are expected to grow at a slightly lower CAGR of around 30% during the same period. The agency notes that competition among lenders could pressure yields and limit profitability gains. It also says credit losses are likely to remain limited because gold pledged as collateral is liquid. Icra adds that much of the recent surge in loan books is linked to higher gold prices, with only modest growth in the quantity of jewellery pledged.