Multiple reports referencing The Economist say recent oil-market calm may not last. The coverage characterizes current conditions as a period of relative stability and suggests that market conditions could change quickly, leading to sharper upward price moves. While no specific event or date is singled out in the provided excerpts, the language used across the items emphasizes the prospect that oil prices are “floating” in a volatile environment and could move abruptly if underlying risks materialize. The reports do not present detailed figures or a clear consensus on the exact drivers of a potential increase, but they align on the core message that risk is building and that price moves could be sudden rather than gradual. Overall, the articles frame the near-term outlook as uncertain, with the potential for “convulsive” or disruptive price behavior if supply, demand, geopolitical, or market factors shift.