Texas is projected to have more residents than California in the coming years, according to reporting that compares state population trends and forecasts. The change is attributed to ongoing growth in Texas alongside slower growth, and in some periods population losses, in California.
Sources point to two main drivers: international immigration and internal U.S. migration. Texas draws residents from abroad as well as people relocating from other states, while California’s population trends are shaped by factors such as domestic out-migration and demographic changes. While outlets frame the development with slightly different wording, they converge on the same underlying demographic explanation and the expectation that Texas will eventually overtake California by population.
Overall, the reports characterize the shift as part of a broader reshuffling of where Americans live, reflecting differences in migration patterns and growth rates between the two states.
