A new round of assessments by leading climate scientists indicates the world is unlikely to reach the most extreme levels of warming previously considered, but it still is on track to exceed the long-term temperature goal set under the 2015 Paris Agreement. Reporting from multiple outlets says researchers are moving away from earlier “best-case” and “worst-case” scenario bounds because those older extremes are no longer viewed as plausible. The update reflects incremental progress in efforts to curb greenhouse-gas emissions, which reduces the likelihood of the most catastrophic heating outcomes. At the same time, the assessments conclude that completely limiting warming to the Paris target is not achievable under current trajectories. The reporting also frames the work as part of preparations for the next major series of United Nations climate reports, where updated scenario ranges and findings will be presented. Overall, the sources agree that the revised projections show a narrower range of potential outcomes: less severe warming than some earlier worst-case scenarios, but continued confirmation that the international temperature limit set in 2015 will be breached.
New climate report projects less extreme warming but exceeds 2015 global target
A new round of assessments by leading climate scientists indicates the world is unlikely to reach the most extreme levels of warming previously considered, but it still is on track to exceed the long-...
- Scientists are revising previous climate scenario extremes because they are no longer considered plausible.
- Projected global warming is less severe than some earlier worst-case estimates.
- The world is still expected to exceed the temperature limit associated with the 2015 Paris Agreement goal.
- The updates are part of preparations for the next major United Nations climate reporting cycle.
Scientists are jettisoning their worst and best case scenarios for a warming world as no longer plausible. That shows how modest gains in the fight to curb climate change have dialed back the most catastrophic of future heating but also confirmed that there's no chance to limit warming to the international goal set in 2015.
3 months agoBoth the old best and worst case future scenarios in the fight against climate change are being jettisoned by the world’s top scientists as they prepare the next series of huge United Nations reports
3 months ago
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