Rabiu Kwankwaso, vice-presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), says President Bola Tinubu cannot be assured a win in 2027 even though the All Progressives Congress (APC) controls more than 30 states. Speaking during a town hall in Port Harcourt, Kwankwaso argues that governor strength and party control at state level do not automatically translate into national electoral success.

He points to Nigeria’s 2015 election as a parallel case: then-President Goodluck Jonathan lost his re-election bid despite the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) having significant state presence during the campaign. According to accounts cited by one outlet, Jonathan won 15 states and the FCT while Muhammadu Buhari won 21 states, and some of Buhari’s states were previously controlled by PDP.

Kwankwaso also criticizes the performance of several APC governors, including in northern Nigeria, saying many have not delivered meaningful development and therefore cannot effectively campaign or influence voters. Other reporting frames the remarks as a warning against relying on the sitting government’s advantage alone and stresses the need for voters to avoid another election “mistake.”