The platinum market is forecast to swing to a surplus this year after three consecutive years of supply shortfalls, according to the World Platinum Investment Council. The shift is tied to heavy investor selling and weaker end-market demand, particularly in China.

Bloomberg reports that investor selling plays a central role in changing the balance in the market, while also pointing to softer demand linked to Chinese jewelry consumption. Moneyweb similarly highlights weaker Chinese jewelry demand alongside investor selling, citing the same World Platinum Investment Council outlook. Both outlets frame the expected surplus as a turnaround from recent years when the market was consistently in deficit.

While the sources emphasize the same drivers—investor outflows and reduced jewelry demand in China—they do not provide additional conflicting details, such as differences in forecast magnitude, timing, or the relative contribution of each factor. The common focus remains on the market balance moving from shortfall to surplus as demand and investment flows change.