The Home Office data cited by the reporting shows a reduction in small-boat migrant crossings in the first part of the year, with officials pointing to weather conditions in the Channel as one contributing factor. The figures reference “red days,” a term used for days when conditions are considered favourable for illegal dinghy crossings.

Across the coverage, the main quantified detail is that there are 110 such “red days” between January and the end of August this year. The implication presented is that the number of favourable-weather days affects how often crossings occur. The reporting does not provide additional competing explanations or figures from other sources in the materials supplied, focusing instead on the relationship between operational conditions and crossing rates.

Overall, the account places the decline in crossings within a seasonal and weather-dependent context, based on the Home Office’s categorisation of days suitable for crossings.