Ukraine’s top military intelligence official, Lieutenant General Oleh Ivashchenko, says Russia’s ability to sustain its war effort may decline by 2028. In comments reported this week, he links the forecast to Russia facing battlefield losses, weakening troop morale, and broader economic strain.
The assessment is presented as a judgment of Russia’s likely capacity over the next few years rather than a specific change in policy or timing of any action. The reporting does not describe new operational events or provide additional evidence beyond Ivashchenko’s stated concerns. The claim aligns with a broader pattern in wartime reporting where officials from opposing sides predict changes in the other side’s resources, manpower, and sustainability.
