A senior UAE official says the United States and Iran have only a “50-50” chance of reaching an agreement that would help reopen or free navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Presidential adviser Anwar Gargash made the remarks at the Globsec Forum in Prague. He commented on the stop-start negotiations between Washington and Tehran, describing the outlook as uncertain and urging Iran not to overplay its negotiating position during the fragile ceasefire-related context. Gargash said Iranian officials have “missed a lot of chances” in past efforts, attributing this to a tendency to overestimate their “cards.” In his view, negotiations require a diplomatic solution, and a further escalation into an additional phase of armed hostilities would likely worsen challenges across the region. The sources report that Gargash’s comments reflect cautious expectations about the prospects for a deal, while emphasizing that he is calling for restraint and renewed diplomatic engagement rather than continued confrontation.