The OECD says global economic growth in 2026 remains resilient, forecasting an increase of 2.9% despite the ongoing war in the Middle East. Both outlets report that the forecast reflects a balance between supportive factors and pressures linked to the conflict.
The OECD attributes part of the outlook to investment in artificial intelligence, which it says is helping support growth. At the same time, the war is described as contributing to higher inflation, including through energy-related price pressures. One report also highlights that continued access to credit is helping cushion the potential effects of rising energy costs, suggesting that financial conditions are not worsening as quickly as the energy shock.
Overall, the sources align on the revised 2026 figure and the main drivers cited by the OECD: AI investment supports activity while the Middle East war contributes to inflationary pressure, particularly via energy prices.
