An OCTA Research nationwide survey for the 2028 elections shows a hypothetical ticket of Vice President Sara Duterte and Senator Robin Padilla leading over a hypothetical tandem of Naga City Mayor Leni Robredo and Senator Paolo Benigno “Bam” Aquino IV.

According to the Tugon ng Masa (TNM) survey results for the second quarter of 2026, 48% of respondents prefer the Sara-Robin pairing, while 36% choose the Leni-Bam pairing. The difference implies a 12-point lead for Sara Duterte and Robin Padilla in the national preference measure reported by the outlets.

Outlets broadly report the same figures and characterization of a national lead by the Sara-Robin tandem. The main difference is how they frame the margin: one outlet emphasizes the 12-point lead, while another describes the lead as present but with a smaller margin, without adding new methodological details. One report also references that the results are accompanied by discussion from the Palace regarding “mind conditioning,” which is not elaborated further in the other coverage.