Nigeria’s presidency says a recent assessment by The Economist is misleading after the publication suggested President Bola Tinubu could win re-election in 2027 even though many Nigerians allegedly dislike him. In comments attributed to special adviser on media and public communications Sunday Dare, the presidency argues the outlet’s analysis is inconsistent and appears aimed at promoting an opposition narrative.

The Economist’s report, published on October 1, points to pressures that could weigh on Tinubu, including Nigeria’s security crisis and the impact of economic reforms on households. It also argues that Nigeria’s election dynamics can still favor incumbents, citing factors such as access to ruling-party structures and financial resources.

Dare counters that the administration’s “re-engineering” is an ongoing and necessary effort to address long-standing problems, including past fuel subsidy arrangements and governance failures that he says left the state financially overstretched. He also highlights social and economic measures the presidency says are improving outcomes, including the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND) and wage reforms. Across the outlets, the dispute centers on whether public sentiment is broadly negative, rather than on specific evidence presented by either side.