The U.S. winter is forecast to be generally wetter and warmer, but not necessarily snowier, according to the federal seasonal outlook from NOAA and assessments by other meteorologists. The outlook points to El Niño as the key driver, expected to shift weather patterns toward bringing more moisture along with higher temperatures.
NOAA says the added moisture could help reduce ongoing drought conditions, particularly in the West. However, higher temperatures are expected to limit snowfall in many northern areas, leading to below-normal snow in regions that include the Northeast, Great Lakes, Upper Midwest, and parts of the Northern Rockies.
Across the South and parts of the West, conditions may favor higher-than-usual snowfall compared with typical seasons. Sources also note that NOAA does not make official seasonal snowfall predictions, but meteorologists within the agency and private firms anticipate these regional snow disparities, with snowfall forecasts varying by city and location.