Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning is seeing shifts in his NFL Draft outlook after an inconsistent start to the 2026 college season, with multiple draft analysts revising how they rate him heading toward the 2027 draft. While Manning remains a highly regarded prospect, the outlets note that he has not yet confirmed the “take the leap” expectations that surrounded his move up the draft boards.

NDTV reports that Mel Kiper Jr. still ranks Manning among the top 25 overall prospects in his latest big board, placing him at No. 24 and sixth among quarterbacks. Kiper’s explanation, as described by NDTV, centers on inconsistency as the main limitation despite keeping his skill set in contention. Yardbarker similarly frames Manning as someone expected to rise but hasn’t yet.

Separately, Yahoo Sports highlights critiques from Todd McShay, including that Manning is not on McShay’s list of the top 10 quarterback prospects. Yahoo also floats the possibility of a transfer as a route to a better fit, citing McShay’s view that other quarterback prospects appear more polished at this stage.