A new UN-backed assessment projects that global mean near-surface temperatures will reach near-record highs in the next five years. The report estimates that average temperatures are likely to fall in a range of about 1.3°C to 1.9°C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline over the period considered. It says it is very likely that temperatures will temporarily exceed 1.5°C above the 1850–1900 level for at least one year between 2026 and 2030. While the projected warming is framed as temporary surpassing of the 1.5°C threshold within that window, the overall assessment indicates continued warming trends consistent with current climate change drivers. The reporting summarizes the forecast in terms of global temperature anomaly above the pre-industrial reference period and does not attribute the projected levels to any specific cause beyond the established warming context. Both outlets describe the same general findings: a high likelihood of near-record warmth over 2026–2030, including at least one year above 1.5°C relative to 1850–1900.