Zimbabwe’s economy is forecast to rebound to 5% growth in 2028 following an El Niño–linked slowdown, with the rate expected to average above that level through 2030, according to Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube. The forecast is presented in the ministry’s Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies.

Both outlets base their reports on Ncube’s remarks and the associated policy documentation that is reflected in an IMF staff report. The central difference in emphasis is mainly the framing of the headline: Zimbabwe Independent leads with the recovery rate and ties it to the expected 2028 rebound, while New Zimbabwe repeats the same substance, highlighting the El Niño cause and the 2028 figure alongside the longer-term average through 2030.

Overall, the story focuses on macroeconomic projections and the policy context rather than any new, outlet-specific figures or additional claims beyond the shared forecast and attribution to the finance minister and policy memorandum.