The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) says there is an 80% chance that El Niño conditions will develop between June and August. The UN weather and climate agency attributes the outlook to unusually warm ocean waters in the tropical Pacific, which are driving changes that can affect global weather and climate. According to WMO forecasts from its global monitoring network, the likelihood of a significant shift toward El Niño is “pronounced,” with probabilities reaching 80% for the June–August period. The WMO also links the expected El Niño development with increased risk of extreme weather events, noting that El Niño can influence global temperature and rainfall patterns. Other outlets reporting on the WMO statement describe the same forecast and emphasize that conditions are trending toward El Niño dominance during the northern summer. In addition, one report notes that this could mean above-normal temperatures in many regions. Overall, the sources agree on the timing (June to August), the probability (80%), and the anticipated implications (greater risk of extreme weather through impacts on temperature and rainfall).