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California, Iowa, 4 Other States Hold Primaries: Key Races To Watch
California, Iowa, 4 Other States Hold Primaries: Key Races To Watch
Authored by Joseph Lord via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),
The California gubernatorial and Los Angeles mayoral primaries are among the most closely watched races today.
A voter fills out a ballot at a polling station in Des Moines, Iowa, on Nov. 6, 2018. Joshua Lott/Getty Images
Voters in six states will go to the polls today for a series of key races.
The biggest item of the night will be the litany of races in California, the nation's largest state. Others will be held in Iowa, Montana, New Mexico, New Jersey, and South Dakota.
Here are the most important races to watch.
California Governor
The race to replace outgoing Gov. Gavin Newsom is one of the most-watched in the nation.
California's gubernatorial elections are designed to be nonpartisan. With about six candidates polling with at least 5 percent support, only the top two vote-getters will be on the general gubernatorial election ballot in November, even if both are of the same party.
In the final weeks leading into the primary, the election underwent a total shake-up when front-runner Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-Calif.) left the race - and Congress - following multiple allegations of sexual harassment and sexual assault. Swalwell has denied the allegations.
Currently, the Democratic front-runners are former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra and billionaire Tom Steyer. The two are polling close, although Becerra retains a slight advantage.
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Yes 93% · No 7%View full market & trade on Polymarket The main Republican candidates in the race are Steve Hilton, a British American TV show host and conservative commentator, and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco.
Polling leaves it unclear whether Hilton or Steyer is favored for second place.
Los Angeles Mayoral Primary
Residents of Los Angeles will also vote in the nonpartisan mayoral primary.
Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass is facing off against 10 other contenders. She is expected to win the top spot in the primary.
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 68% · No 33%View full market & trade on Polymarket Meanwhile, the top Democratic contender for the second-place spot - member of the Los Angeles City Council Nithya Raman - is seeking to hold off a challenge from former reality TV star Spencer Pratt, running as a Republican, and make it to the general election.
California's 22nd Congressional District
In California's 22nd Congressional District, Rep. David Valadao (R-Calif.) will face off in a nonpartisan primary with state Rep. Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, both Democrats.
Valadao is expected to win a place in the general election, although his final opponent will be decided by the outcome on June 2.
Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?
Yes 90% · No 10%View full market & trade on Polymarket Polling in the district is sparse. A single poll conducted at the beginning of May by Data for Progress, a left-leaning pollster, showed Valadao with 44 percent support, Villegas with 25 percent, and Bains with 21 percent.
California's 48th Congressional District
In California's 48th Congressional District, a flurry of candidates have put their names into the ring.
Republican Jim Desmond leads in polls in the nonpartisan election, with fellow Republican Kevin O'Neil coming in second in some polls. Marni von Wilpert and Ammar Campa-Najjar are the Democratic front-runners.
The seat was one of five redrawn to favor Democrats last year - but that advantage only holds if a Democrat wins the nonpartisan primary.
California's 11th Congressional District
In California's 11th Congressional District, a slate of Democrats is competing to replace outgoing Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.).
Most polls show a lead for candidate Scott Wiener, a Democrat, while Pelosi has endorsed San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan. Chan has come in second in some polls, and Wiener enters the primary as the clear front-runner.
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Yes 99% · No 1%View full market & trade on Polymarket The two Republicans in the running - when they have made it into the polls at all - have pulled less than 5 percent support.
Iowa Senate
Although Iowa has long been a lock for Republicans, it is among Democrats' targets this year, as there are indications that the party could flip Senate seats previously considered safe. This year, Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) will not be seeking reelection, leaving the seat open.
Polls indicate that Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa) is favored for the Republican nomination over her rival, state Sen. Jim Carlin.
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes 62% · No 38%View full market & trade on Polymarket The polls leave it unclear whom the Democrats will nominate between candidates Josh Turek and Zach Wahls. Turek has led in more recent polling.
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Yes 93% · No 7%View full market & trade on Polymarket Iowa Governor
Iowa's gubernatorial race is open after Gov. Kim Reynolds, a Republican, announced that she would not seek reelection in 2026.
Several Republicans are contending for the nomination to replace her. The polls show that candidates Rep. Randy Feenstra (R-Iowa), Zach Lahn, and Adam Steen are leading in that race. On the Democratic side, only state Auditor Rob Sand is running.
A general election poll conducted in April by Echelon Insights, a Republican-aligned pollster, found that Sand had 51 percent support against Feenstra, who was polling at 39 percent.
Montana Senate
In Montana, the last-minute exit of Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) from the race left Republican challengers little opportunity to register against former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme, who registered for the GOP nomination just as Daines exited the race.
On the Democratic side, no polls have been conducted, leaving it unclear who is in the lead for the nomination.
As recently as 2024, the state was represented by Sen. Jon Tester, a Democrat. Some general election polls have shown 44 percent support for a generic Democrat.
New Mexico Governor
In New Mexico, Democrat and former U.S. Secretary of the Interior Debra Haaland is highly favored to win the Democratic nomination in the blue-leaning state, which some Republican strategists had eyed as a potential target in 2024.
On the Republican side, Gregg Hull narrowly leads Doug Turner in polls for the nomination.
New Jersey's 7th Congressional District
One of the two top targets for Democrats in New Jersey is the seat of Rep. Tom Kean (R-N.J.).
Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, is favored to win the nomination, leading in most polls. Her closest rival is Brian Varela.
New Jersey's 12th Congressional District
In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District, incumbent Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman (D-N.J.) is retiring, leaving open a safely Democratic seat in a district where the primary essentially is the general election.
The race has exposed ideological rifts in the Democratic Party.
Leading the progressive side in the race is Dr. Adam Hamawy, a Princeton trauma surgeon and Army veteran with endorsements from progressive heavyweights such as Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.).
The main other contenders for the Democratic nomination include East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen, state Rep. Verlina Reynolds-Jackson, and Somerset County Commissioner Shanel Robinson.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 06/02/2026 - 12:20
2 months ago
