The OECD cuts its 2026 global growth forecast, citing fallout from the ongoing Middle East conflict. In the updated outlook, the OECD warns that worsening conditions could further slow the pace of global expansion. The report links the weaker forecast to economic uncertainty and potential spillovers affecting trade, investment, and financial conditions. It also notes that the outlook depends on how long the conflict lasts and how severely it disrupts economic activity. While the exact impact is framed as conditional, the OECD indicates that if the war continues into next year, global growth could slow to around 2.1%. The OECD’s assessment reflects a broader risk environment in which geopolitical tensions can materially change macroeconomic trajectories. Overall, the update presents a more cautious 2026 growth outlook than previously expected, emphasizing that the level of disruption from the conflict remains the key driver of the downside risk.