UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer says Western intelligence assessments indicate Russia could attack a NATO country within four years. Speaking on Friday, Starmer stated that his assessment, along with those of other NATO members, points to the possibility of an attack as soon as 2030. He presented the warning as part of what he described as growing urgency for NATO planning and readiness.

Starmer also said his government will publish a long-delayed defence investment plan before the next NATO summit. The pledge links the warning about potential Russian action to planned efforts to strengthen the UK’s defence posture and support NATO ahead of the alliance’s meeting.

The reports describe Starmer’s remarks as a signal of concern based on intelligence and allied assessments, without providing additional details about specific scenarios, targets, or evidence beyond the timing estimate. Both outlets frame the comments in the context of upcoming policy and investment decisions before the NATO summit.