India’s monsoon rainfall begins significantly below normal, with multiple outlets citing that it is nearly 40% short as the season gets underway. Bloomberg and the Financial Post both link the weak start to El Niño, a climate pattern that can alter weather patterns across the world and reduce or shift rainfall in parts of South Asia.

Both reports describe the early monsoon as unusually lackluster and suggest that the current shortfall is likely to persist rather than quickly recover. They note potential consequences for agriculture, where reduced rainfall can affect crop growth and yields, and for industrial activity that depends on adequate water supply and stable monsoon conditions.

While the reports focus on the timing and magnitude of the shortfall, they present a consistent overall picture: rainfall is weaker than expected at the start of the monsoon season, and El Niño is viewed as the main driver behind current and near-term expectations. The coverage underscores how early-season rainfall deficits can quickly translate into broader economic risks through agriculture and related sectors.