Indian dairy industry executives warn that milk prices may rise again by July or August due to El Niño–related concerns about deficient monsoon rainfall and fodder shortages. Multiple outlets report that prices increased by about 2–3% in May, and suggest an additional 3–4% rise is possible if rainfall remains below normal in key milk-producing regions. The reports link reduced rainfall to a likely tightening of fodder and water availability, which can lead farmers to cut cattle numbers and lower milk output, pushing prices higher.

The Maharashtra government is urging farmers to expand fodder cultivation and has asked livestock farmers to plan for fodder crops to prevent shortages from affecting milk production. Dairies say they are monitoring conditions closely and coordinating mitigation steps with cattle owners, including fodder planning. Major brands such as Amul, Mother Dairy, and Parag Milk Foods increased milk prices in May. One outlet notes that Tamil Nadu’s Aavin has also cut supplies in response to heatwave impacts.

While some executives emphasize there is no immediate nationwide shortage, they acknowledge that deficient rainfall could affect regions and may require continued monitoring through the monsoon period.