Mango production in Pakistan’s southern belt is in full swing, but exports are expected to fall sharply as the country’s fruit trade remains affected by the Middle East war. Pakistan’s mango season, which begins around June in Sindh province, is already underway when an initial deal to halt fighting announced by Pakistan arrives “too late” to protect this season’s overseas shipments.
Traders and exporters say demand is weakening in key destinations, including the Gulf states, Iran and Afghanistan, where conflict has disrupted purchasing and trade. The All Pakistan Fruit and Vegetable Exporter Association says about 80% of Pakistan’s mango exports go to the Gulf, Iran and Afghanistan, and estimates that total mango exports will shrink by roughly 30,000 tonnes from last season to about 80,000 tonnes.
Higher logistics costs also factor in. Conflict around the Strait of Hormuz and related energy and shipping pressures have pushed freight prices up, with shipping costs for a container estimated to rise from about $1,400 last year to roughly $6,000–$7,000.
With fewer exports, mangoes become cheaper in some domestic markets, but households reduce purchases amid higher inflation, limiting local sales.