Multiple reports say Latvian intelligence officials warn that Russia may be preparing “hybrid” attacks or military provocations targeting NATO’s eastern flank, including the Baltic states and Poland. The warnings describe efforts intended to increase pressure on NATO rather than necessarily involving only conventional warfare.
According to the reports, the activities under consideration include the use of unmanned aerial systems (drones) and missiles, alongside other unspecified hybrid methods. The disclosures are framed as an intelligence assessment that Russia could conduct actions designed to test defenses, create instability, or provoke political and security responses from regional countries.
The reporting characterizes the situation as a preparation phase, with the focus on potential provocations that could occur in the context of broader tensions between Russia and NATO member states in Eastern Europe. The sources do not provide specific timelines or confirmed incidents, instead emphasizing the intelligence warning and the need for monitoring and preparedness.