India’s weather agency, the IMD, projects that rainfall in July is likely to be below normal. According to IMD statements reported by The Hindu and Deccan Chronicle, July is expected to receive about 94% of the long-period average (LPA) rainfall calculated for the period 1971–2020. The IMD also cites a July LPA figure of roughly 280.4 mm for India as a whole. Together, the reports indicate that while rainfall is not expected to be at the historical average level, it is still close to the LPA benchmark, suggesting a modest shortfall rather than a drastic reduction. Both outlets frame the forecast using the same percentage of LPA and the same reference rainfall total, and do not add differing figures or additional meteorological drivers. The IMD’s assessment reflects the agency’s monthly rainfall outlook for July based on its monitoring and forecasting methods. Further updates would depend on subsequent observations and revisions to the forecast as the month progresses.