A new RNZ-Reid Research poll reports that the National Party is at its weakest level of support since late 2021 under leader Christopher Luxon. The survey puts National at 28.7%, a drop described by the outlets as its lowest result since November 2021. In the same poll, the fledgling Opportunity Party is reported to have gained momentum and is now close to winning enough support to enter Parliament. The reporting indicates that Opportunity’s support level is within a small margin of the Parliamentary threshold, meaning it is near securing representation. Taken together, the results show a weakening position for National compared with earlier polling under Luxon, alongside an emerging challenge from Opportunity as it gains traction with voters. The outlets focus on the poll’s headline figures for National and Opportunity, without attributing specific causes to the shift in support.