TrendForce projects that Apple’s upcoming “iPhone Duo” could capture roughly a quarter of the foldable smartphone market in 2026. The report estimates Apple ships about 5 million units by the end of that year, which would translate to a 24.8% market share, placing Apple second behind Samsung.

The same TrendForce outlook points to an overall shift in the segment. Global foldable shipments are expected to reach 20.2 million units in 2026, representing a 0.5% increase compared with 2025. One outlet also frames the prediction against a prior downturn, noting a potential correction after an estimated 20% slump in foldable shipments.

Both sources attribute the figures to TrendForce and focus on market share, shipment expectations, and the expected size of the overall foldable category. They differ mainly in emphasis—one foregrounds the iPhone Duo market share figure, while the other highlights the broader market shipment baseline and year-over-year change for 2026 (as well as forward-looking discussion).