New estimates based on recent inflation data indicate the Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2027 could be in the range of 3.5% to 3.6%, which would be among the higher readings in recent years. The estimates center on updated government inflation measurements that influence how the COLA is calculated.

The sources agree that the final figure is not set yet and depends on inflation data through a set period, especially the official readings for September. The Social Security Administration then determines the COLA using that data and is expected to announce the official increase in October. Both outlets also note that projections can vary slightly depending on the methodology and the inflation assumptions used by different analysts and beneficiary groups.

Overall, the coverage focuses on the emerging forecast rather than a confirmed government decision, emphasizing that the final COLA could change as additional inflation data become available.