UK pollster Professor Sir John Curtice says the likelihood of Reform winning the next general election is increasing, based on his latest analysis of the party’s support. Curtice characterizes Reform’s backing as a “coalition” rather than a group driven only by dissatisfaction or “protest” voting. He argues that many supporters hold “distinct socially Conservative” views, suggesting the party’s appeal extends beyond voters motivated primarily by anger at the political system.
The remarks are reported in the context of growing attention on Reform’s prospects. Curtice’s assessment implies that the party’s rise is partly rooted in identifiable social-policy preferences, according to his analysis, rather than being exclusively the result of voters seeking to register a protest. The reporting does not provide additional detailed methodology, vote-share estimates, or comparisons with other parties, but it presents Curtice’s conclusions about the composition of Reform voters and the implications for electoral momentum.
